Sorry, Alabama Will Win
Can't agree with you on this one. I just don't see Alabama losing twice in the same season to another team in the SEC West (LSU). This is a serious grudge match and I'll be shocked to see Saban lose it.
Also, Alabama actually outplayed LSU in the regular season and would have won but for some missed field goals. So, Alabama is the better team with more motivation.
And, that motivation comes from more than just the 2011 season. Also, in 2010, Alabama had a great team that lost only one game. But, that loss to SEC West rival Auburn, kept them out of the National Championship hunt.
UPDATE: thanks to a comment below, reminded me that Bama also lost to LSU in 2010 -- so if they lost this game, that would be 3 straight losses to LSU. Wow, even more motivation. Honestly, if LSU wins this game, then they currently own Alabama. Which is why it won't happen.
This year, Alabama gets a second chance (third chance if you count their loss to Auburn last year). Saban is not gunna strike out.
But, we'll see!